Our track record
Model Accuracy compares how our models have performed. Prediction Archive is the full list of games we predicted. Curious how the shot metrics work? Read the xG methodology — expected goals, Corsi and Fenwick.
Model Accuracy Tracker
Elo
56.8%
Live accuracy
2239 / 3939
CV: 57.3%
Goal-diff regressor
57.4%
Live accuracy
2262 / 3939
CV: 57.4%
xG-diff regressor
58.2%
Live accuracy
2292 / 3939
CV: 58.6%
Ensemble
58.1%
Live accuracy
2288 / 3939
CV: 58.0%
